The famous science fiction movie "The Matrix" depicts us a world ruled by Matrix operated by a group of engineers. "Snow country train" tells us that such a world has been in endless loops. Once it is broken, no one knows. With their rich imagination, the film director has conceived a future that is amazing and scary to us. Therefore, we confidently believe that since we can imagine the worst situation, we can certainly avoid it. However, this idea is based on childishness.
From about 10,000 years ago, humans moved to live in settlements, built simple houses, and built captive animals with wood or stones. When animals need to be hunted, humans create spears and bows. This is the invention of mankind in the early days of civilization. Then, as the number of humans increased and settlements expanded, for security reasons, defensive buildings such as city walls gradually emerged. Later, various ships were built for the purpose of crossing the sea, and various kinds of human relations were established. A variety of political and ethical systems have also been built up by the kind of rule and law, and humanity has entered a period of relatively stable development. This period did not end until the first industrial revolution. Because although this period has spanned more than 10,000 years, the power base and energy base for survival have not changed. Large-scale natural forms of labor directly use biomass energy for production and life. The first industrial revolution broke all this, it began the expansion of capitalism to the world, and the large-scale use of coal as a stable power supply, which makes the society above it appear to have a pole with the previous society Big difference. In the second industrial revolution, the large-scale use of electricity replaced or, more precisely, promoted the use of fossil energy and reformed the energy base. During this period, capitalism has almost reached the whole world. Humanity is at this time. Invented a series of aircraft, airships, submarines. About half a century after the second industrial revolution, people believed that with the third revolution in the use of atomic energy and information technology, in fact, we can see that electricity is still the basis for survival, and capitalism is still a frontier. Atomic energy is also used to generate electricity in energy. The operation of information technology depends entirely on electricity and does not produce alternative results. Therefore, this change should be called innovation rather than revolution.
Let us temporarily interrupt the development of human technological development because we need to reflect on a problem. In this tens of thousands of years, the changes in technology are indeed conclusive, but what has never changed? First, the essence of technology has not changed. That is, all technologies are substitutes and extensions of human body functions. For example, people are tired of walking. They have domesticated the horse, invented the car, invented the aircraft, and continuously shortened the distance brought about by the space. As things increase and memory pressure increases, people invent words and write books. The recorded words carry past experiences and greatly reduce the burden on brain memory. Second, humans will not easily interrupt their own survival process. This means that humans will move from a natural economy to a capitalist economy, because most people cannot achieve the natural inaction of Lao-tzu, and once they have a desire, they will have desires, and desires will definitely want to be satisfied, and changes will occur. unstoppable. The irresistible change is more pronounced for capitalism. Capital, as a product of human society, has continuously demanded added value from the very beginning. It has continuously brought more capital from capital. It is like having a life. It produces itself, and the appearance of modern factories and Taylor system accelerates the appreciation of capital. Until capitalism swept the world, it became a major feature of humanity, and it is still spreading today.
Our theme "artificial intelligence" is precisely the unique charm of the two invariable points in the near future. In essence, artificial intelligence is the migration of human thinking ability and consciousness. An important criterion for the success of migration is the Turing test. In other words, a car that must be driven by a driver before has to achieve automatic driving, and is driving smarter and more intelligently, just like a driver drives his own car. Other industries and artificial intelligence products are also correct, needless to say. At the same time, this kind of migration cannot be stopped, because today's artificial intelligence industry is under the grand background of capitalism, so it is bound to be driven down by capitalism.
Therefore, we can describe the future of humanity from the above discussion, a future similar to science fiction movies. In the first stage, as the algorithms and hardware continue to mature, most of the objects in human life are related to artificial intelligence, which can provide us with great convenience in life. The factory does not need workers, but smart robots (300024 At work, humans can have a lot of time for cultural and other activities. This is the phase where the real world and the world of ideas are gradually separated. In the second stage, humans establish relationships on different artificial intelligence terminals. Just as people make rules to communicate with each other, the ethical aspects of artificial intelligence emerge and are intertwined with human ethics. The most elite human beings in human society are the controllers of artificial intelligence, and most people are tempted to become new "slaves." At this stage, the separation of the real world from the ideal world has ended. In the third stage, after several generations of human time, artificial intelligence has taken over all aspects of human life. Humans can seem to be able to realize all things in their own homes, whether it is communication with people or the establishment of marriage because economics Look, artificial intelligence is the best point for balancing the marginal cost and marginal revenue in all options, so people are accustomed to artificial intelligence in time. At this time, artificial intelligence generates viruses with extremely low probability due to human beings' superior computing power and hardware equipment given to artificial intelligence. Just as people have free will, this is like the first computer virus to realize the The person's idea that the possibility of artificial intelligence out of control increases. But because people are obsessed with the power of artificial intelligence, almost everyone lives in the machine from the beginning of birth, so just like the “brain brain,†people’s understanding of themselves is based on various machines. The subjectivity of humanity is gradually lost. Finally, artificial intelligence has replaced humans and humans have become incredible. This is the period when the world of ideas and the real world are reversed.
Some people may think that this is alarmist, but do not forget that many people today have no feelings for nature and have cut off the connection with nature. Or perhaps people would say that they can avoid technology controlling humans, but don't forget that mankind has created an uncontrollable capitalism. Please note here that the biggest feature of capitalism is not a free market economy, but capital itself will certainly seek Its own proliferation. Then maybe people think that at least we will get along with AI, but don't forget that technological changes in the capitalist context will make AI more powerful than humans. Therefore, the appearance of the world after several decades or even hundreds of years is certain. We should make this clear. Because the era of artificial intelligence is bound to show its own rise and fall, human beings do not need to violate anything for their own sake. Moreover, the present condition of human beings is created by the desire of 10,000 years ago.
So, what should we do in the face of this result? Or what kind of understanding do we have for investment?
First of all, we need to make it clear that we are in the early stages of the first phase of artificial intelligence, so there is no need to have too much psychological burden. The preferred solution in this phase is to focus on algorithms and hardware devices, but you can't just look at these two points because the Internet's TCP/IP seven-layer network model tells us that network security must start from the networking stage. Rather than hurrying to start in the midst of vulnerabilities, the longer-term approach at this stage is to focus on the communication and interface technologies between artificial intelligence devices to ensure the security of future connections between devices. Why care about security? Because people's awareness of privacy and freedom will continue to increase, so the demand for information security will naturally increase, so the focus on security will bring unexpected benefits, although it seems to be unnecessary in the short term.
Second, after entering the second phase, the focus on security has entered the field of vision of most artificial intelligence companies. At this time, investors prepared in the first phase will receive great benefits from customers. The security threat at this time still comes from the invasion of artificial intelligence devices such as robots by hackers and criminals. Therefore, security must be composed of points and surfaces to prevent attacks.
Finally, in the third phase, at the initial stage, investment is an investment in artificial intelligence services, similar to the comparison between the tertiary industry and the secondary industry. Then, the significance of investment, or the economic shape of mankind, fades and investment ends.
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